Whilst credit markets have improved since the beginning of the year, borrowers continue to find raising or extending existing credit lines challenging. One of the big stories of the year has been the bond market.
Banks remain cautious and often reluctant to advance loans to new customers. However, during the third quarter, upward pricing pressure on bank lending has abated. Although we have yet to see significant falls in bank pricing, in the absence of further major economic shocks, the peak for pricing may now have passed.
Key findings of Q3-09 Debt Market Update:
Corporate Lending - a focus on existing customers but cautiously open for new business.
Any new lending proposal will be heavily scrutinised and banks are reticent to refinance lending with others to avoid taking on their “problems”. A slight recovery in confidence could signal potential for a competitive tendering process for modestly-sized debt. We are seeing a strong strategic drive within some state-backed banks to increase their lending, albeit within more stringent credit quality parameters.
Leveraged Finance – difficult for the remainder of the year but innovative thinking means deals are possible.
The leveraged market will remain subdued for the remainder of the year, although there are pockets of activity at the smaller end of the market.
Corporate Bonds – an increase in activity and risk appetite.
In contrast to the banking market, the public bond market has seen a significant increase in activity this year. Investor risk appetite has also increased with an increasing proportion of BBB issuance. Corporates have been attracted to the bond market not only because it is an available source of credit but also because they have been able to secure longer tenors than on bank loans.
Convertible Bonds – a significant increase in issuance of this cheaper, more stable form of debt financing.
In recent months, there have been a number of household names issuing convertible debt. Convertibles have a cheaper cost of carry than conventional bonds because the implied value in the option to convert reduces the cash coupon. Companies with a stretched credit position may be able to issue convertible bonds when conventional debt markets are closed and in difficult credit markets the spread between standard cash coupon bonds and convertible bonds is likely to increase, making the latter more attractive.
Asset Based Lending - remains well positioned to capitalise on lack of credit from traditional sources.
Lenders have adopted a “back to basics” approach in recent months and are focusing more financing on physical assets and good quality receivables and less on cashflow-based facilities. Notwithstanding this the size of deals which asset based lenders are willing to finance has decreased in terms of individual hold levels.
Restructuring - expect a substantial re-pricing of facilities.
Even if lenders are only resetting covenants rather than rescheduling repayment profiles and/or maturities, companies can expect a substantial re-pricing. Most restructurings involve a negotiation between the existing lenders and shareholders thanks to the limited availability of credit from new providers and depressed M&A values. Whilst lenders are seeking to re-price facilities to what they perceive as heightened credit risk, they do not tend to pursue debt-for-equity swaps unless they are being asked to write down debt by the borrower or its shareholders. The amount of new money required and the jurisdiction of the borrower are also major determinants of the outcome of a restructuring.
For further details, read the Debt Markets Update from our UK colleagues.
Recent Comments